Storm brewing

No, not the weather type of storm such as we have had in Israel for the last couple of days.

No, not the political type of storm such as we have had in Israel for the last couple of, er, decades.

The storm I am referring to is the one brewing in Gaza.

Hamas fought (in my opinion) a badly judged war. Their propaganda efforts got them some sympathy, a modest extension of their fishing zone, much publicity, and nothing more apart from promises. Many of the promises featured rebuilding Gaza. Many of those making the promises overlooked – deliberately or otherwise – the challenge of rebuilding Gaza without rebuilding terror tunnels.

Fats forward several months, and progress has been almost non-existent. If you are a resident of Gaza, what do you think Hamas got for you with the blood of your people? And the immediate prospects for improvement are not good. There’s now better recognition of the challenges of rebuilding only civilian infrastructure. There’s now an awareness – or, perhaps, more awareness now being openly stated – that Hamas is a corrupt, kleptocracy of a regime. And there are two elephants in the room.

Elephant number one is the Israeli election. Hamas know that any terrorist act by them may cause a voting swing to the right. If that’s what they want, there will be such an act or acts.

Elephant number two is the illusion of unity, and the actual stance of Fatah. According to this report, the Palestinian Authority has said there will be no reconstruction until the PA get control of Gaza… In response, Hamas claims – in a less than peaceful manner – that Palestinian unity (ahem) is being ruined by the PA. Further, they warn Abbas they ‘will not await your mercy.’

My interpretation (aka ‘guess’) is that trouble is brewing in Gaza. Militarily I hope we are prepared. Politically, we are stuck till after the election. And if Bibi gets in again, I fear we will still be stuck.

I have no sympathy for Hamas, but the people of Gaza are paying a terrible price for the real crimes of their leaders. The even more terrible aspect is that Hamas want Israel to pay a price as well.

My enemy’s enemy…

From Arutz Sheva:

Did Fatah Inform Israel about Hamas Tunnel?

An Arabic-language website publishes documents it says were sent by Ramallah intelligence to Israel, revealing tunnels’ locations.

Arabic-language website awraqq.com has published two documents that it says were sent by Palestinian Authority (PA) intelligence to Israel’s intelligence organizations, and which expose the location of two tunnels that terrorists dug from Gaza into Israel.

This information is what made it possible for Israel to prevent the tunnels from being used for terror attacks, according to the website.

According to the report, one tunnel was prepared by the armed wing of Islamic Jihad, the Al-Quds Brigades, and the other by the armed wing of Hamas – the Al-Qassam Brigades.

You can read the whole thing, here.

It is intriguing. Given that the first casualty in war is the truth, and Hamas and Fatah are at war, I recommend having a large quantity of salt on hand when considering the story.

We may never know, but if Fatah were providing intelligence, it’s going to make life pretty dangerous for any remaining Fatah sympathizers in Gaza. There’s supposed to be an anti-Hamas rally on the 11th of this month. We may see more clearly what is going on, in terms of power and control, at that time.